Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.926710 4.688308 5.537358 6.551037 7.725130 9.038933 10.616936
2025-07-20 2.916247 3.915138 5.143911 6.753855 8.793252 11.275016 14.506108
2025-07-27 2.343800 3.467409 4.965233 7.078909 9.950401 13.676394 18.830237
2025-08-03 1.855710 2.993851 4.622433 7.073175 10.606611 15.444370 22.478515
2025-08-10 1.441824 2.522938 4.174881 6.810759 10.819438 16.574742 25.316010
2025-08-17 1.141331 2.155101 3.801348 6.572510 10.994361 17.616541 28.067602
2025-08-24 0.955052 1.932504 3.609078 6.568482 11.493683 19.144305 31.622272
2025-08-31 0.811000 1.752306 3.452086 6.587580 12.011262 20.720650 35.352688
2025-09-07 0.681643 1.571424 3.261094 6.513596 12.351399 22.025537 38.737811
2025-09-14 0.548752 1.354128 2.965662 6.206570 12.246162 22.577119 40.928471
2025-09-21 0.470060 1.233205 2.833161 6.177404 12.617232 23.939258 44.538644
2025-09-28 0.403193 1.123650 2.704580 6.134775 12.950933 25.251459 48.143564
2025-10-05 0.378366 1.109989 2.778298 6.512657 14.128721 28.170801 54.792191
2025-10-12 0.342024 1.060182 2.766135 6.712405 14.982793 30.575442 60.708182
2025-10-19 0.318007 1.037002 2.809929 7.035062 16.109217 33.561726 67.867803
2025-10-26 0.277066 0.957923 2.710094 7.029167 16.564103 35.316429 72.882902
2025-11-02 0.229040 0.845707 2.510013 6.768139 16.455951 35.976081 75.889715
2025-11-09 0.190043 0.749421 2.331917 6.531192 16.368779 36.659361 78.971631
2025-11-16 0.166503 0.695711 2.255562 6.527181 16.788142 38.377004 84.151846
2025-11-23 0.146931 0.649770 2.192183 6.546172 17.258661 40.227841 89.702657
2025-11-30 0.126982 0.596395 2.097903 6.472599 17.506299 41.629118 94.434278
2025-12-07 0.103464 0.521511 1.925411 6.167284 17.173203 41.772525 96.611323
2025-12-14 0.090433 0.483621 1.858399 6.138281 17.502073 43.359885 101.858183